Showing posts with label Economy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Economy. Show all posts

Friday, October 18, 2013

some of my ideas for Banks and the Economy

General rules and ideas

Banks have to give at least 1% interest to depositors in a savings account

Banks cannot charge more than 30% in interest for any loan, credit card, mortgage, etc

Banks cannot use depositor's money for themselves---the ""Volker rule"" ""the Volker Rule would restrict United States banks from making certain kinds of speculative investments that do not benefit their customers"" link here

banks cannot bet more than 10 to 1 and cannot bet for and against a loan, making money either way, as they did leading up to 2008---they bet 40 to 1 on mortgage backed securities, lied to ratings agencies, made securities they knew would fail, sold them as safe, then bet that they would fail, making money while their customers lost money



Canadian banking
WSJ Article link here 
Since 1790, the United States has suffered 16 banking crises. Canada has experienced zero — not even during the Great Depression.

Report link here

Bank of Canada link here




Economy---

I'm for regulated Capitalism

I really only want Government to do a few things----safety and labor laws and regulations---so enforce overtime, minimum wage, consumer protection, safety standards in products,

and banking regulations---especially role STOPPING recessions---that is when Government stimulus should kick in---when private credit freezes because of risks, that is when government should borrow money and lend it to the economy----lender and borrower as last resort


with the 2008 crisis over housing i would have done things differently---let banks fail, AIG was different though, that was an insurance company which froze credit markets for GE which had no problems---

NO FORECLOSURES on primary houses---allmortgages should be paid off at some time, but have help during a recession or crisis ---i would have done anything else----a one year moratorium, no payments---paid for by FED---allow partial payments as a statement of faith and will---""i would like to pay but cant afford whole payment now""

any stimulus would have gone directly to people---those who lost jobs, those who missed a few payments on mortgages (not more than a year etc, cant just not pay forever)---right now even Obama is restricting help to homeowners who haven't missed a payment, and banks make you miss 3 payments, they don't accept partial payments,

so here are just a few examples













Thursday, October 10, 2013

GOP versus Government



Government IS NOT THE PROBLEM-----EVERYTHING is Government!!! 

The GOP Shutdown, “”Govt is the problem”” and the Declaration of Independence and Constitution


We in America have a government OF BY AND FOR the people to protect our rights and protect our liberty---

That is what the Declaration of Independence and Constitution set up---an accountable government that follows the will of the people (majority rules), a Congress of Representatives and Senators by state to ensure equal representation in Congress, with a Bill of Rights of individual liberty that Government ENFORCES and lives by---

We have the First Amendment rights to freedom of speech, press, assembly and petition the government in order to make sure Congress listens to the people they represent


Why we have government

The Declaration of Independence
We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.--That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed.

The Constitution
We the People of the United States, in Order to form a more perfect Union, establish Justice, insure domestic Tranquility, provide for the common defence, promote the general Welfare, and secure the Blessings of Liberty to ourselves and our Posterity, do ordain and establish this Constitution for the United States of America.

The Constitution sets up a Congress of a House and Senate, Role of President and the Courts, sets guidelines for laws and prohibitions----there aren’t many actual laws in the Constitution, but mostly a guideline for Congress who is the Legislative branch that will be writing laws (you can do this but not this when writing laws, etc)




GOP on Govt “”being the problem, hindering the economy,”” BLAH BLAH BLAH

Our Government as set up by the Constitution

PRINTS MONEY and loans it out to banks

establishes Patents to protect inventions and protect the profits of inventors

created roads and post offices for trade and mail, regulate banks

gives licenses to businesses, entrepreneurs, inventors and workers,

regulates labor and safety laws.

THE PRIVATE SECTOR GOES THROUGH THE GOVERNMENT!!!

Without Government services THERE IS NO PRIVATE SECTOR!!!!





Thursday, July 25, 2013

Goldman Sachs and Commodities

Comparing Goldman Sach's statement on Aluminum stockpile and New York Times article (with JP Morgan oil trades as well)

New York Times article on Goldman Sach's aluminum trades and ownership
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/07/21/business/a-shuffle-of-aluminum-but-to-banks-pure-gold.html?pagewanted=all&_r=2&

Goldman Sach's statement
http://www.goldmansachs.com/media-relations/in-the-news/current/goldman-sachs-physical-commodities-7-23-13.html

JP Morgan and oil trades
http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/07/25/jpmorgan-commodities-powerdeals-idUSL1N0FV0GL20130725

Saudi Arabia and Oil (produce more or less) link  link



FROM NYT

Only a tenth of a cent or so of an aluminum can’s purchase price can be traced back to the strategy. But multiply that amount by the 90 billion aluminum cans consumed in the United States each year — and add the tons of aluminum used in things like cars, electronics and house siding — and the efforts by Goldman and other financial players has cost American consumers more than $5 billion over the last three years, say former industry executives, analysts and consultants.

FROM NYT on JP Morgan and other commodities

The maneuvering in markets for oil, wheat, cotton, coffee and more have brought billions in profits to investment banks like Goldman, JPMorgan Chase and Morgan Stanley, while forcing consumers to pay more every time they fill up a gas tank, flick on a light switch, open a beer or buy a cellphone. In the last year, federal authorities have accused three banks, including JPMorgan, of rigging electricity prices, and last week JPMorgan was trying to reach a settlement that could cost it $500 million.


Using special exemptions granted by the Federal Reserve Bank and relaxed regulations approved by Congress, the banks have bought huge swaths of infrastructure used to store commodities and deliver them to consumers — from pipelines and refineries in Oklahoma, Louisiana and Texas; to fleets of more than 100 double-hulled oil tankers at sea around the globe; to companies that control operations at major ports like Oakland, Calif., and Seattle.

In the case of aluminum, Goldman bought Metro International Trade Services, one of the country’s biggest storers of the metal. More than a quarter of the supply of aluminum available on the market is  kept in the company’s Detroit-area warehouses.


Before Goldman bought Metro International three years ago, warehouse customers used to wait an average of six weeks for their purchases to be located, retrieved by forklift and delivered to factories. But now that Goldman owns the company, the wait has grown more than 20-fold — to more than 16 months, according to industry records.

Longer waits might be written off as an aggravation, but they also make aluminum more expensive nearly everywhere in the country because of the arcane formula used to determine the cost of the metal on the spot market. The delays are so acute that Coca-Cola and many other manufacturers avoid buying aluminum stored here. Nonetheless, they still pay the higher price.

***the same argument is made about Keystone XL---OPEC sets global prices---and domestic production will  not lower prices that have other factors associated with it.



***of course this is part of the problem---its all legal
Goldman Sachs says it complies with all industry standards, which are set by the London Metal Exchange, and there is no suggestion that these activities violate any laws or regulations.

***of course a 16 month wait could be BOTH issues
Metro International, which declined to comment for this article, in the past has attributed the delays to logistical problems, including a shortage of trucks and forklift drivers, and the administrative complications of tracking so much metal. But interviews with several current and former Metro employees, as well as someone with direct knowledge of the company’s business plan, suggest the longer waiting times are part of the company’s strategy and help Goldman increase its profits from the warehouses.


Metro International holds nearly 1.5 million tons of aluminum in its Detroit facilities, but industry rules require that all that metal cannot simply sit in a warehouse forever. At least 3,000 tons of that metal must be moved out each day. But nearly all of the metal that Metro moves is not delivered to customers, according to the interviews. Instead, it is shuttled from one warehouse to another.


Because Metro International charges rent each day for the stored metal, the long queues caused by shifting aluminum among its facilities means larger profits for Goldman. And because storage cost is a major component of the “premium” added to the price of all aluminum sold on the spot market, the delays mean higher prices for nearly everyone, even though most of the metal never passes through one of Goldman’s warehouses.

again 40% lower means nothing without a comparison, this was a report about the last few years, and they are making 1/10th of one cent on each soda can---they are affecting entire price by holding this small amount---1/48 of all aluminum in reserves





FROM SEEKING ALPHA July 25, 2013




'Too Big To Fail' Banks Defend Commodity Manipulation Accusations And Carry On

The so-called "Too Big to Fail" (TBTF) Banks - Goldman Sachs (GS), Morgan Stanley (MS) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM) generated an estimated $4 billion in commodity revenues last year and now face growing pressure from a number of investigations into their operations, and as the Federal Reserve yesterday reviewed Wall Street's right to operate in the Commodity markets.

Escalating threat to Wall Street's physical Commodity Trading divisions:
Several experts told a Senate subcommittee Tuesday that allowing financial holding companies to have increasing control over physical commodities such as aluminum and oil could give them too much power over producers and manufacturers. Lawmakers took the opportunity to criticize the Federal Reserve for allowing banks to expand their commodity trading activities, and once again questioned the wisdom of scrapping the Glass-Steagall law that separated corporate and investment banking, a decision that helped open the door to commodity dealing. The Financial Institutions and Consumer Protections subcommittee hearing addressed a recent investigation by The New York Times regarding ownership of aluminum warehouses by Goldman Sachs. Goldman says it is not deliberately creating aluminum shortages and that all accusations about it are nothing but sheer rampant confusion. The banks are using various strategies in order to convince the Federal Reserve that they should be allowed to retain the metal warehouses, pipelines and oil tankers that they have purchased over the past seven years. Big aluminum buyers represented by MillerCoors, the second largest brewer in the U.S., told the packed hearing that the banks' control of metal warehouses that are part of the London Metal Exchange network drove up their costs by as much as $3 billion last year by distorting supplies. JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs, which bought LME warehouses in 2010, "have created a bottleneck which limits the supply of aluminum," Tim Weiner, global risk manager for the brewer, the combined U.S. operations of Molson Coors and SABMiller, told the U.S. Senate banking committee. The banks were not present at the hearing, but as it got underway Goldman Sachs issued its first public rebuttal of mounting criticism of its metals warehousing unit, denying that Metro International Trade Services has deliberately caused aluminum shortages and inflated prices.

Here is what Goldman had to say:
As part of our activities as a market maker, or intermediary between buyers or sellers, in commodities and commodity futures and derivatives, Goldman Sachs, like a number of other financial institutions, holds physical commodities in inventory.
  • We hold an inventory position in a particular physical commodity for the purposes of meeting the needs of our clients or as a hedge for positions in commodity futures or derivatives we assume as a market maker.
  • And, to fulfill this market making role, we sometimes take delivery of physical commodities just as we do government bonds and stocks in financial markets.
We also hold other physical commodity operations as investments. This includes Metro International Trade Services, a metal warehousing company we bought in 2010, and which operates under the regulations of the London Metals Exchange (LME).
  • During the financial crisis, warehouse companies played the important role of allowing metal producers, who are often unable to adjust immediately to changes in demand, to store excess metal in the face of weak consumer demand. In fact, LME aluminum inventories more than tripled from 1.2 million tonnes pre-crisis to more than 4.5 million tonnes by the middle of 2009. As a result, large amounts of metal accumulated at some locations.
Recent news reports have inaccurately accused Metro of deliberately creating aluminum shortages and incorrectly asserted that Metro moves aluminum from one warehouse to another in order to earn more rent fees.
  • In fact, it is the owners of the metal who direct warehouse operators to dispose of stored metal or transport metal from LME-approved warehouses to warehouses outside the LME system to meet their own needs or objectives.
Some additional key facts about global aluminum markets and the LME system:
  • Aluminum stored in Metro warehouses amounts to approximately 1.5 million tonnes, compared with global aluminum production in 2012 of about 48 million tonnes.
  • Approximately 95 percent of the aluminum that is used in manufacturing is sourced from producers and dealers outside of the LME warehouse system.
  • The LME warehouse companies do not own the metal in their facilities. They merely store it on behalf of the ultimate owners.
  • In fact, LME warehouses are strictly prohibited from trading all LME products. Trading affiliates of a warehouse operator do not have any information regarding warehouse operations as such trading is separated by LME-mandated information barriers, the integrity of which is verified through regular independent audits.
  • Delivered aluminum prices are nearly 40 percent lower than they were in 2006. The warehousing system is not driving up the price of aluminum.
  • Certain facilities owned by non-bank holding companies have queues, while certain facilities owned by bank holding companies do not have queues. The queues that exist in various warehouses are a function of market structure and LME rules.
  • At any time, a company can buy aluminum from a producer. In fact, in recent years there has been more production than consumption. The more immediate sourcing of aluminum from the LME system would be a last resort for a corporate end user given that it always takes a certain amount of time to get inventory out of a warehouse.
Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan Chase are using several legal means to maintain their multibillion-dollar commodity franchises, including a longstanding rule allowing banks to invest in commercial enterprises and an exemption they carved out of legislation 15 years ago. The 1996 change meant "Congress finally tore down the wall. Over the next six years, the rules became looser and looser. The so-called holding companies' control is raising prices for producers such as MillerCoors (TAP), Coca-Cola (KO) and car manufacturers. These bank holding companies are slowing the load-out of physical aluminum from [warehouses] to ensure that they receive increased rent for an extended period of time. But as per latest market reports, these financial companies are not just controlling aluminum warehouses. Copper, oil, energy, solar power and energy warehouses are also largely controlled by these big banks. While a 1956 law constrained banks to "banking activities" and restrained banks from owning physical commodities, a 1999 law allowed banks to extend their reach into loosely defined "financial activities."
Commodity Trading Woes:
JPMorgan is reportedly close to a more than $400 million settlement with the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC), as the bank tries to put to rest allegations that its traders manipulated power markets in the Midwest and California. JPMorgan's alleged activity in those markets was linked to its control over real power plants and energy supplies, a fact likely to sharpen questions over the rules for ownership. The hearing was the first to address the oversight of banks in physical commodity markets since a Reuters report last year revealed that Goldman and Morgan Stanley were still awaiting a Fed decision on whether they can still own physical assets after becoming bank holding companies in 2008. Commercial banks are prohibited from owning trading assets, but the two former investment banks argued that their commodity activities are permitted under a "grandfathering" clause in a 1997 law that effectively scrapped much of the Glass-Steagall act separating the commercial and investment banks.
Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley converted to Bank Holding Company status in 2008 and gained access to the Fed's discount lending window, which also gave the freedom and flexibility as unregulated investment banks that included largely unfettered commodity trading activities. The 1999 Gramm-Leach-Bliley act modified key parts of the BHC Act, effectively ending the separation of commercial and investment banking. Within that amendment was a clause that said any bank converting to holding company status "may continue to engage in, or directly or indirectly own or control shares of a company engaged in, activities related to the trading, sale, or investment in commodities and underlying physical properties that were not permissible for bank holding companies to conduct in the United States as of September 30, 1997." In other words, if you traded and invested in commodities before 1997, you should still be allowed to do so if the bank was engaged in "any of such activities" before then and so long as it does not exceed 5 per cent of the bank's total assets. The question the Fed has grappled with is: If a company traded one type of a commodity before 1997, say gasoline, should it be allowed to trade ethanol, for example, or own a crude oil pipeline?
Separately, JPMorgan - which as a commercial bank has never been allowed to own assets - is believed to have reconfigured its Henry Bath metal warehousing business in order seek qualification as a "merchant banking" investment with the Fed. When Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) purchased Sempra Commodities in 2008 - including its Henry Bath warehouse operation, the Fed ordered it to sell the warehousing unit within two years, which RBS ultimately sold Henry Bath and most of the Sempra business to JPMorgan for $1.7 billion - a deal that closed in July 2010. JPMorgan changed the composition of the Henry Bath board last year in an effort to gain approval from the Fed to retain the business as a merchant banking operation, sources have said. It is unclear whether that effort was successful. More recently it has floated a possible sale of Henry Bath.
The Gramm-Leach-Bliley (GLB) act that swept aside Glass-Steagell rules also gave financial holding companies far more leeway to invest in non-financial corporate enterprises - so long as those investments meet certain criteria to qualify for "merchant banking" status, an issue that is key for JPMorgan and possibly Goldman Sachs. After 1999, major U.S. commercial banks were quick to register under the new heading of "Financial Holding Companies", allowing them to compete with then-investment banks like Goldman and Morgan to make direct investments into the commercial world.
The issue of whether banks are allowed to trade in physical commodity markets - taking title to a cargo of crude oil or a container of coffee beans - is separate from the question of whether they should be able to own infrastructure or assets. As of last Friday, the question of commodity trading is also in doubt as the Fed announced a "review" of a key 2003 ruling. Historically investment banks had no material restrictions on what they could trade. While Fed-regulated commercial banks have long been allowed to trade commodity derivatives, it wasn't until a 2003 Fed order that they were allowed to participate more deeply in the physical marketplace.
Commodity Trading and Warehousing Permissions:
The Federal Reserve, in 2005, allowed JPMorgan Chase to purchase physical commodities business, relaxing the limitations of "financial activity. When Citigroup (C) bought Travelers Group in 1998, it sought the Fed's permission to trade in oil markets in order to retain a small but lucrative Westport, Connecticut-based trading firm called Phibro, a vaunted commodity merchant with a century-old history and a focus on trading physical crude oil benchmarks worldwide. Citi argued that it was inhibited from trading effectively in derivative markets because counterparties knew that they would not be able to take physical delivery. The Fed agreed with Citi, saying that trading in real commodities would allow the banks to "transact more efficiently with customers". It said the trading must be "complimentary" to their main activities, contribute to the public good and should not pose a "substantial risk" to the bank. It said banks must take precautions by frequently inspecting stockpiles, place age limits on the tankers they use and carry substantial pollution insurance, among other things. Importantly it also added the stipulation that the banks could only trade in commodities for which there was an equivalent commodity derivative contract already regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). That decision, which came at the start of a decade-long boom in commodity trading, opened the door to a dozen more applications from global giants like Deutsche Bank (DB) and domestic players like Wells Fargo. With many of the permits, the Fed gave greater and greater leeway in what and how they could trade. After converting to holding companies, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley faced greater limitations in which commodities they could trade. Goldman has approached the Fed several times over the past year to seek permission to trade in iron ore, but has been rebuffed since no such U.S. futures contract exists.
Commodity assets and activities "raises potentially serious public policy concerns," Saule Omarova, (associate professor of law at University of North Carolina Chapel Hill) said, advocating for greater disclosure from banks. "This has been going on a long time that banks have engaged in various levels of physical commodity dealing," said Pennsylvania Republican Sen. Pat Toomey, adding that the profitability of commodity handling "might actually diminish risks rather than enhance risks." While senators acknowledge that bank ownership of commodities might have some positive effects on consumer prices, they questioned how Congress and the Fed should balance regulations on large banks moving forward. "These institutions are so complex, dense and opaque that they are impossible to fully understand -the six largest US. bank holding companies have 14,420 subsidiaries, only 19 of which are traditional banks," Ohio Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown, chairman of the subcommittee. said. "We've have created a tangle and it takes time to undo that," said Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, a Democrat. She said her recently introduced "21st century Glass Steagall" bill would help to "disentangle what has become a mess that is both hard to regulate and is creating additional risk." Sherrod Brown said. "After the hearing, the Senate Banking Committee will ask the banks and the Fed to give testimony at another hearing in September."
















Saturday, July 20, 2013

Deficit and Debt reduction is NOT GOP goal

GOP does NOT care about debt or deficit reduction-----their goal is GOVERNMENT reduction, PRIVATIZATION, cutting benefits for the poor and middle class in favor of those who already have enough and more than enough.



SOMETIMES THEY WILL ADMIT THE TRUTH---LINK TO WHOLE TWEET AND DISCUSSION

https://twitter.com/_EOD/status/343443012673732608





IF THEY DID CARE THEY WOULD TELL THE TRUTH ABOUT OBAMA NUMBERS AND ECONOMY, WOULD END AUSTERITY UNTIL ECONOMY WAS GROWING AGAIN (AUSTERITY IS NOT HOW YOU GET OUT OF RECESSION----ITS HOW YOU PAY OFF DEBT USED TO GET OUT OF RECESSION)

GOP WOULD SUPPORT SENATOR BERNIE SANDERS' DEBT REDUCTION PLAN INSTEAD OF AUSTERITY FOR TEACHERS, FIREMEN AND POLICE, GOVERNMENT FURLOUGHS, ETC



IF GOP REALLY CARED ABOUT DEFICIT REDUCTION ONE WAY WOULD BE BRING BACK CORPORATE TAX MONEY THAT IS ALREADY OWED TO US








I'M SURE YOU WILL HEAR THAT ""GOVERNMENT SPENDS TOO MUCH""----SHOW THEM THIS-----PROBLEM IS THEY DON'T BELIEVE FACTS
GOVT SPENDING SINCE 2000



JUST IN CASE YOU DONT UNDERSTAND THIS GRAPH-----BUSH SPENT A LOT UNPAID FOR (DEBT) AND OBAMA SPENDING HAS GONE DOWN SINCE 2010



US DEBT WHEN OBAMA TAKES OFFICE IS 10.6 TRILLION



US DEBT JANUARY 2013 IS 16.4 TRILLION




BUSH DEBT WHEN TAKES OFFICE IS 5 TRILLION---WHEN HE LEAVES ITS 10 TRILLION---BUSH DOUBLED DEBT NOT OBAMA




AND FOR ALL WE HEAR ABOUT DEBT----GOP WONT TELL YOU WHO OWNS MOST OF IT----THE AMERICAN PEOPLE DO---ITS AN INVESTMENT (ALTHOUGH ON THE FOX NEWS WEBSITE THEY SOMETIMES TELL THE TRUTH)







FDR 1936 WARNS ABOUT GOP SAYING THEY CARE JUST AS MUCH ABOUT SOCIAL PROGRAMS      http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/?pid=15142
Let me warn you and let me warn the Nation against the smooth evasion which says, "Of course we believe all these things; we believe in social security; we believe in work for the unemployed; we believe in saving homes. Cross our hearts and hope to die, we believe in all these things; but we do not like the way the present Administration is doing them. Just turn them over to us. We will do all of them- we will do more of them we will do them better; and, most important of all, the doing of them will not cost anybody anything."


AND I'VE WRITTEN ABOUT GOP, DEBT AND TAXES BEFORE

GOP AND TAXES---RHETORIC AND REALITY
http://lib2view.blogspot.com/2013/01/gop-and-taxes.html

2008 RECESSION AND THE CAUSES OF OBAMA'S DEBT
http://lib2view.blogspot.com/2013/01/obama-and-bush-our-economy-and-debt.html

OUR ""IMMORAL DEBT""
http://lib2view.blogspot.com/2013/01/our-immoral-debt.html

Sunday, July 7, 2013

Romney and BAIN versus Obama and Solyndra


""Free market Bain versus Govt Subsidy Obama""

Sep 27 2012
While this looks bad Bain also made bad choices in investing and they aren't
listed here-- Obama's list here is only energy companies--- and with the case of
Solyndra specifically it was free market competition from Chinese solar panels made Solyndra's model too expensive not Obama---- and yes his visit was political but the subsidy was not--- Bush gave them a loan as well---- no president is free from politics and even Obama gets crap from the left for gitmo, immigration (Reagan gave blanket amnesty) gay marriage etc. and finally your website is “”obama puke”” on Facebook ---- I'm sure it's independent LOL









Good thing Romney reads Book of Mormon---this is in the Bible!!



Saturday, July 6, 2013

IMF tells US to ease Austerity--Apparently Forgetting History of IMF!!

The IMF in June warned the US to ease off of Austerity---while its history has been forcing austerity around the world...
IMF warns Ease Off Spending Cuts to Boost U.S. Recovery  June 14, 2013


http://repository.library.georgetown.edu/handle/10822/552581
""The IMF claims that such austerity measures, although painful to administer, are necessary to correct floundering economies.""

http://www.twnside.org.sg/title/twr137b.htm  
""Not long ago, Argentina was the poster-child for the conservative economic policies pushed by the IMF. The Buenos Aires government privatised state enterprises, liberalised foreign trade and investment, and tightened government fiscal and monetary policy.""

Conditions for IMF loans 

From page 4       The paper finds that 31 of the 41 agreements contain pro-cyclical macroeconomic policies. These are either pro-cyclical fiscal or monetary policies – or in 15 cases, both – that, in the face of a significant slowdown in growth or in a recession, would be expected to exacerbate the downturn. In some cases, the Fund subsequently relaxed the original conditions; sometimes (as in Hungary, Latvia, Republic of Congo, and Haiti) this appeared to be the result of social unrest or other pressures on the borrowing government. These relaxations of fiscal and monetary policy are noted in the text below, but the original agreements are included in the tally because they still represent, in the authors’ opinion, a policy mistake that may have caused unnecessary economic harm during the time when the policy was in effect.
              In many cases the Fund’s pro-cyclical policies were based on over-optimistic assumptions about economic growth. For example, of the 26 countries that have had at least one review, 11 IMF reports had to lower previous forecasts of real GDP growth by at least 3 percentage points, and three of those had to correct forecasts that were at least 7 percentage points overestimated. Most likely there will be more downward revisions to come.

Page 5      It is also worth noting that the IMF has a history of over-optimistic projections in many countries.6 So it is not so easy to separate forecasting errors from an underlying bias toward overly restrictive fiscal and monetary policies.

IMF: Austerity is much worse for the economy than we thought
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2012/10/12/imf-austerity-is-much-worse-for-the-economy-than-we-thought/
This matters a lot for policy. If tax hikes and spending cuts only hurt growth a little bit, then a government with debt problems will want to enact some austerity measures.  
But if tax hikes and spending cuts hamper growth significantly, then austerity could be ill-advised. Indeed, if the fiscal multiplier is really, really high in certain situations—such as during a downturn—then austerity could prove counterproductive. Those higher taxes and severe spending cuts will cripple growth so much that the nation will end up with an even bigger deficit than it started out with.

In the 1990s, the fund was famous (or infamous, if you prefer) for ordering countries with debt troubles to tighten their belts.

Friday, June 21, 2013

Congress is the one on ""welfare""

Congress is the one with “”extraordinary govt benefits paid for by taxpayer dollars””
yes they do a vital service of legislation---but there is a lot of wasted taxpayer money there as well


Martin Gross on Government Waste
Top 10

I've got This Version from 1992
The Govt Racket--Waste from A to Z

Govt Racket--Waste from A to Z, from 2000 and beyond

Article on Gross' works

Book review  larger version

Obituary Martin Gross

CSPAN video interview Clip

CSPAN FULL INTERVIEW




Base Congressional Salary since 1789 link here
2008 -- $169,300 per annum
2009 -- $174,000 per annum   
2010 -- $174,000 per annum
2011 -- $174,000 per annum
2012 -- $174,000 per annum
2013 -- $174,000 per annum

Note: Since the early 1980s, Senate leaders -- majority and minority leaders, and the president pro tempore -- have received higher salaries than other members. Currently, leaders earn $193,400 per year.


In September 2009, Obama cut the FY 2010 pay increases scheduled for most federal government employees from as much as 18.9 percent to no more than 2.0 percent. In addition, the salaries of all senior White House officials have been frozen since President Obama took office in 2009.  link here


California Rep Jackie Spier Video link

From article 5 Things The House GOP Should Cut Instead Of Food Stamps link

Food Stamps and GOP  (my blog piece)    link here

Travel expenses link here
...new gift reports show members of Congress were adept at taking advantage of last month’s summer recess and receiving almost $1.7 million in free trips during the month of August.

During a paid month long summer recess, members of Congress reported receiving $1,668,928 in gifts of free travel, the largest monthly total since August 2011. The gifts covered the expenses of 130 trips by members during August. For the year, members of Congress have received $3,346,611 in free travel paid by outside organizations.



FROM   link here
Personnel Allowance Component of the MRA
The Statement of Disbursements of the House also provides the formula that was used for
determining each Member’s MRA. In the 2010 formula, the personnel allowance component of this calculation was $944,671 for each Member.14

The Members’ Representational Allowance (MRA)
The Members’ Representational Allowance (MRA) is available to support Representatives in their official and representational duties. The MRA may be used for official expenses including, for example, staff, travel, mail, office equipment, district office rental, stationery, and other office supplies.

The 2012 allowances range from $1,270,129 to $1,564,613, with an average of $1,353,205.13

***BASE ALLOWANCE IS MORE THAN THEIR SALARY!!!!
The base allowance in the formula established in 2010 is $256,574.17
***salary is $175,000

Senators’ Official Personnel and Office Expense Account (SOPOEA)
The SOPOEA is funded within the “Contingent Expenses of the Senate,” account in the annual legislative branch appropriations bills. The average allowance is $3,209,103.26

Sequester finally attacks Senate barbershopof officially the Senate Hair Care Services unit
“”government-subsidized haircuts for senators and their staff.””

“”Senators used to get free haircuts. But that stopped in 1979, when public pressure over wasteful government spending led the shop to impose a $3.50 fee. But even today, the shop’s full menu of unisex salon services are still far less expensive than many hair establishments around Washington. A basic trim is $20 plus tip, a manicure is $18 and eyebrow trimming runs $15.””

Before 1984 Congress did not pay into (or receive) Social Security
Report on Retirement Benefits for Members of Congress November 30, 2012


FEHBP (Congressional Healthcare)

Congressional HealthCare Federal Employees Health Benefits Program (FEHBP)
CRS report

There are 230 different health plans available in FEHBP for the 2013 plan year.
Out of the 230 plans available through FEHBP, an enrollee’s choice is typically limited to 10 to
15 different plans, depending on where the individual resides

All FEHBP plans cover a range of benefits, including hospital, surgical, physician, mental health,
prescription drug, catastrophic, and emergency care. There are variations in the amount the plans
pay for each benefit, the coverage of specific services, and the extent to which they protect
enrollees from the risk of catastrophic medical bills.

The federal government and enrollees share the cost of the premiums for FEHBP plans. The 
government’s contribution to premiums is set at 72% of the weighted average premium of all 
plans in the program, not to exceed 75% of any given plan’s premium.
The percentage of premiums paid by the government is calculated separately for individual and family coverage, but each uses the same formula. Annuitants and active employees pay the same premium amounts, although active employees have the option of paying premiums on a pre-tax basis. 


             Govt Pays         Employee Pays        Total Premium
Self         $184.06               $80.74                     $264.80

Family    $410.92               $178.24                    $589.16


As FEHBP is the largest employer-sponsored health insurance program in the United States, it is 
difficult to compare FEHBP to health benefits offered by other employers. Any comparison must 
be limited to large employers in the private sector and state and local governments.

large firms with more than 200 employees, 55% offered one plan, 37% offered two plans, and 8% offered three or more plans. For firms with more than 5,000 employees, a subset of the aforementioned group of large firms, 26% offered one plan, 49% offered two plans, and 25% offered three or more plans.

large firms, on average employers paid 82% of the premium for single plans and 75% of the premium for family plans for current employees

state and local government employers of all sizes, on average employers paid 88% of the
premium for single coverage and 76% of the premium for family coverage for current
employees.

Dental and vision benefits are available to active federal employees and annuitants through the
Federal Employees Dental and Vision Insurance Program.  Enrollees are responsible for 100% of the premiums. To continue or obtain FEDVIP coverage in retirement, an employee does not have to participate in FEDVIP prior to retirement.

The [Affordable Care Act, Obamacare] exchanges will not be insurers, but will provide a marketplace for eligible individuals and small businesses to purchase private health insurance plans. For more information on the exchanges, see CRS Report R42663, Health Insurance Exchanges Under the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (ACA), by Bernadette Fernandez and Annie L. Mach.


So Darrel Issa has been tweeting ""Replace Obamacare with FEHBP"" BUT in fact Obamacare will be replacing FEHBP---so why is he pushing a program that's ending???
My Blog Post Here

















Thursday, June 20, 2013

Norquist and tax pledge---what is his real goal??


Grover Norquist Tax Pledge and Government Revenue

Grover Norquist wrote his Taxpayer pledge in order to cut government size in half---but when he argues for cutting tax rates and broadening the base, he argues that it would bring in MORE money for government!!!!! Why would he propose something where the goal is to cut government in half but argues that its goal is to GIVE GOVERNMENT MORE MONEY!!!!!!  Unless of course he is lying and he knows it.





FROM WIKIPEDIA

The primary policy goal of Americans for Tax Reform is to reduce government revenues as a percentage of the GDP.[18][19] ATR states that it "opposes all tax increases as a matter of principle."[20] Americans for Tax Reform has supported Taxpayer Bill of Rights (TABOR) legislation[21] and transparency initiatives,[22] while opposing cap-and-trade legislation[23]and efforts to regulate health care.[24]

On a side note---THANKS!!!
In 2010, Norquist, whose wife is a Muslim and who was born in Kuwait to Palestinian parents, emerged as an outspoken Republican foe of politicizing the mosque-in-Manhattan issue, calling it a "distraction".[36]

Huh interesting----THANKS!!!
He has also "announced his plan to assemble a center-right coalition to discuss pulling out of Afghanistan to save hundreds of billions of dollars."[37]

Norquist favors dramatically reducing the size of the government.[12] He has been noted for his widely quoted quip: "I'm not in favor of abolishing the government. I just want to shrink it down to the size where we can drown it in the bathtub."[50] Journalist William Greider quotes him saying his goal is to bring America back to what it was "up until Teddy Roosevelt, when the socialists took over. The income tax, the death tax, regulation, all that."[51] When asked by journalist Steven Kroft about the goal of chopping government "in half and then shrink it again to where we were at the turn of the [20th] century" before Social Security and Medicare, Norquist replied, "We functioned in this country with government at eight percent of GDP for a long time and quite well."[4]

Some smaller government advocates argue that Norquist's "obsession with tax revenue" is actually counterproductive with respect to minimizing the size of government, however.[52]Although the Americans for Tax Reform mission statement is "The government's power to control one's life derives from its power to tax. We believe that power should be minimized",[53] critics at the Cato Institute have argued that "holding the line on taxes constrains only one of the four tools (taxes, tax deductions, spending without taxation, and regulation) used by government to alter economic outcomes."[52] Norquist's perceived failure to call as enthusiastically for corresponding and equally drastic spending cuts has led to criticism from many moderates that he is simply arguing for a false prosperity that is the result of deficit spending created by tax cuts that are not matched by corresponding spending cuts, and that he and other far right conservatives want future generations to pay for present prosperity with their financial futures.





Friday, February 1, 2013

GOP on the economy

How to fight GOP on the economy with their own words

ask them if we can tax the rich into a good economy----->> answer is no, because there are too few rich people

ask them if they agree the economy is based on consumer spending and confidence------>>answer is yes

ask them about supply and demand--businesses arent hiring because of many reasons but one they cite is low demand

ask them if there are more people in the middle class then the rich---->>answer is yes

ask them if debt is bad------>>answer is yes

(debt is bad because cant spend more then you make--so why are they against minimum wage??)

then ask them what they think about a strong middle class spending their income and growing the economy--->>then ask why they dont believe the questions above

Sunday, January 20, 2013

Taxes

a general compilation of our current tax system

America is a LOW TAX country -----from Business Insider  
                 
www.businessinsider.com/america-taxes-charts-2013-1






Are the rich taxed enough?? A debate---- 

Tax increases and Bull (good) stock markets 

if you want to remember that bulls are good and bears are bad---remember that Wall ST has a BULL statue 

a report on corporate tax dodgers  

Companies are holding almost 2 trillion dollars off shore 


taxes collected by President--Obama has the SAME RATES AS BUSH but less taxes collected because of the recession and job losses









Under Bush Tax Cuts---rich paid less while middle class paid more in taxes






this is the ""47%"" picture---Look where the taxes stop---above $200,000 a year!!!! 




My tax plan---a progressive tax where the more you make the more you pay in taxes




Another picture of the ideal tax plan---a progressive tax